Posted on 16 April 2012.
THE MAP– “Campaign 2012-Road to 270: Obama defends typically GOP states in race to 270,” by AP’s Thomas Beaumont: “President Obama begins his re-election campaign defending traditionally Republican territory that he carried when he won the White House four years ago. Republican Mitt Romney is looking to reclaim any combination of these GOP strongholds now in flux. … the political spotlight will shine brightly again on Florida, and the Upper Midwest, especially Ohio. but changes in the nation's demographics will mean heavy attention paid to the Mid-Atlantic and Southwest. ‘for a long time the map was static. I don't think that holds true anymore,’ said Tad Devine, a senior adviser to former Democratic presidential nominees Al Gore and John Kerry. …
“Obama expanded the Democratic footprint on an electoral map that had changed little between George W. Bush's narrow 2000 election and 2004 re-election. against McCain, Obama captured nine states that Bush had won four years earlier. Besides Florida and Ohio, Obama took North Carolina and Virginia … There were victories as well in Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, New Mexico and Nevada. in Florida, unemployment tops 9 percent, tourism is slow to recover, gas prices are high and trouble persists in the housing market; all that works against Obama. but his team is aggressively organizing in the state, and his visit Friday was his 16th since taking office, more than almost any other swing state.”
–UP FOR GRABS (104 electoral votes): Colorado (9), Florida (29), Iowa (6), New Hampshire (3), New Mexico (5), Nevada (6), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18), Virginia (13)
–LEAN D (56 EVs): Michigan (16), Minnesota (10), Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10)
–SOLID D (186 EVs): California, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington.
–LEAN R (32 EVs): Arizona (11), Indiana (11), Missouri (10)
–SOLID R (156 EVs): Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming
–Story http://yhoo.it/HFKq13 Glance, with narrative on swings http://yhoo.it/ISzoph (math tip: Byron Tau)
PLAYBOOKERS: Any calls you strongly disagree with? do you have a single favorite bellwether this year? is Virginia the new Ohio? Colorado? Ohio? Or is it still all about Florida? Send thoughts to mallen@politico, and we’ll use the smartest ones tomorrow.
THE PRESIDENT IN COLOMBIA – “Obama cites potential of billion consumers in the Americas,” by Reuters’ Laura MacInnis in Cartagena: “President Obama stressed on Saturday the ‘great promise’ for business growth in the Americas, seeking to play up the economic heft of the region he has paid little attention to in his first three years in office. in remarks prepared for a meeting of corporate chief executives in Cartagena, Colombia, where he is attending the 33-nation Summit of the Americas, Obama described U.S.-Latin American ties as ‘one of the world's most dynamic trade relationships.’ ‘With nearly a billion citizens – nearly a billion consumers – among us, there's so much more we can do together,’ according to excerpts of his speech released by the White House.
First New Film Premieres At The Fox Theatre In Atlanta Since Gone With The Wind Premiered In 1939
Atlanta, Georgia (PRWEB) November 19, 2011
Will you be saved by the rapture? New film by Pastor William L. Sheals, Sunday Morning Rapture, explores the possibility of the Christ Rapture November 22, 2011, at the first black tie, red carpet movie premiere at The Fabulous, 4,500-seat Fox Theatre in Atlanta since Gone With The Wind in 1939.
The event starts at 7:00 p.m. with Live performances. Tickets are only $27 dollars and are available through the Fox Theatre box office http://www.FoxTheatre.org and Ticketmaster. You can also see the film, which starats showing on Thanksgiving Day 2011, at...
“‘for the Americas, this is a moment of great promise. And I believe if we seize the opportunities before us, we'll continue to be each other's economic partners of choice,’ he was set to tell the gathering of CEOs on Saturday morning, which precedes the formal start of the regional leaders' summit. among the companies represented at the CEO gathering were Pfizer Inc, Chevron, Pepsico and Cisco Systems Inc.”
SENT HOME — WashPost A8, “U.S. agents accused of misconduct: SECRET SERVICE MEMBERS IN COLOMBIA – Allegations said to include contact with prostitutes,” by David Nakamura and Joe Davidson: “the U.S. Secret Service is investigating allegations of misconduct by agents who had been sent to Cartagena, Colombia, to provide security for President Obama’s trip … Edwin Donovan, an agency spokesman, said that an unspecified number of agents have been recalled and replaced with others … Jon Adler, president of the Federal Law Enforcement Officers Association, said the accusations relate to at least one agent having involvement with prostitutes in Cartagena. …
“Adler said the entire unit was recalled for purposes of the investigation. … the Washington Post was alerted to the investigation by Ronald Kessler, a former Post reporter and author of several nonfiction books, including the book ‘in the President’s Secret Service’ … Kessler said … that soliciting prostitution is considered inappropriate by the Secret Service, even though it is legal in Colombia when conducted in designated ‘tolerance zones.’ However, Kessler added, several of the agents involved are married.” http://wapo.st/IVV7zj
–AP’s Frank Bajak, in Cartagena: “on Friday night, a caller who said he had knowledge of the situation told the associated Press that the misconduct involved prostitutes in Cartagena … A Secret Service spokesman did not dispute that. A U.S. official, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and requested anonymity, put the number of agents at 12. … the agents at the center of the allegations had stayed at Cartagena's Hotel Caribe. … A hotel employee, speaking on the condition of anonymity for fear of losing his job, said the agents arrived at the beachfront hotel about a week ago. the employee described the agents as drinking heavily during their stay.”
** A message from the National Association of Manufacturers: the Export-Import Bank's authorization expires in 48 days. Now is the time for Congress to help small business exporters and save jobs. the Bank's transactions support nearly 290,000 jobs in the United States — that's 1,000 jobs every working day for a year. Support the reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank — it's all about jobs! Learn more at www.nam.org/exim. **
BIRTHDAYS: Amy Brundage, celebrating with afternoon drinks with friends on a sunny day … NBC rising star Garrett Haake … Betsy Andres of the Speaker’s office (one day after her husband Geoff Embler) … Adam Levine, National Security editor/founder of Security Clearance blog is 40 … Caleb Jones will spend his afternoon with buds at Nats Park. ask him where he plans to find his birthday key lime pie … WaPo’s Matt Zapotosky … Sasha Issenberg … Kentucky Dems’ Liz Fossett … best darned pollster in New Hampshire Rich Killion … AP’s Eileen Sullivan … Joe Rospars, Blue State Digital founding partner and creative director … New Hampshire’s Joel Maiola … CRC Senior V.P. Keith Appell (h/t Joe Brettell) … PCCC spox Neil Sroka … David Humphreville … Suzy Hemauer … Nick Merrill (h/t Teresa Vilmain) … Loretta Lynn is 80 … Pete Rose is 71 (h/ts AP)
BIRTHWEEK (was Thursday): Ashley Smith (hat tip: Daniel Son)
BIRTHWEEK (was Friday): Nick Schaper, U.S. Chamber’s Executive Director, Digital Strategic Communications (hat tip: Abram Olmstead)
BIRTHDAYS TOMORROW: Chris Potter Stewart (aka mr. Sarah Crawford) … the Re-Elect’s Frank Benenati … BIRTHDAYS MONDAY: Doug Heye
THE PRESIDENT’S WEEK AHEAD: “on Saturday morning, the President will participate in the CEO Summit of the Americas at the Hilton Hotel in Cartagena, Colombia. … in the afternoon, the President will attend an arrival ceremony at the Julio César Turbay Ayala Convention Center. … Later in the afternoon, the President will attend the Plenary Session of the Summit of the Americas at the Julio César Turbay Ayala Convention Center. There will be a limited travel pool spray at the top of the plenary session. in the evening, the President will attend a leaders’ dinner. This dinner at Casa de Huéspedes is closed press.
“on Sunday morning, the President will participate in an official leaders’ photo at the Julio César Turbay Ayala Convention Center. There will be limited pool coverage of the photo. Later in the morning, the President will participate in a leaders’ retreat at the Julio César Turbay Ayala Convention Center. There will be a limited travel pool spray at the top of the retreat. in the afternoon, the President will hold a multi-lateral meeting with Caribbean leaders at the Julio César Turbay Ayala Convention Center. There will be a limited travel pool spray of the meeting. Later in the afternoon, the President will attend a bilateral meeting with President Santos of Colombia at Casa de Huéspedes. There will be a stills only pool spray at the top of the meeting. next, the President will attend a working lunch with President Santos of Colombia at Casa de Huéspedes. This lunch is closed press. Afterwards, the President will hold a joint press conference with President Santos of Colombia. the press conference at the Casa de Huéspedes is open press … in the evening, the President will tour San Pedro Claver Church. There will be travel pool coverage of the tour. following the tour, the President will participate in a cultural event with President Santos of Colombia at the Plaza de San Pedro. … the President will then depart Colombia en route Washington, DC. the departure from Rafael Núñez International Airport and the arrival on the South Lawn are open press. …
“on Monday, the President will attend meetings at the White House. on Tuesday, the President will welcome Tony Stewart and the 2011 Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series drivers to the White House to honor Tony Stewart’s NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Championship. the President will also recognize the efforts by Tony Stewart and NASCAR to give back to their community as part of their visit, continuing the tradition begun by President Obama of honoring athletes and sports teams for their efforts on and off the field. on Wednesday, the President will travel to the Cleveland, Ohio, area to deliver remarks at an event on the economy. Later, he will travel to Michigan to attend campaign events. the President will return to Washington, DC in the evening. on Thursday, the President will welcome the BCS National Champion Alabama Crimson Tide to the White House to honor their 14th championship and theirexceptional 2011-2012season. the President will also continue his tradition of honoring sports teams for their efforts both on and off the field by recognizing the efforts by the Crimson Tide to give back to their community. on Friday, the President will welcome the Wounded Warrior Project’s Soldier Ride to the White House.”
THE V.P.’S WEEK AHEAD: “the Vice President will be in Wilmington, Delaware [this weekend]. There are no public events scheduled. … on Tuesday, the Vice President will attend a campaign event in Washington, DC. on Wednesday, the Vice President and other Senior Administration Officials will host an event in the South Court Auditorium to highlight the critical need to reauthorize the Violence against Women Act. on Thursday, the Vice President will attend campaign events in Phoenix, Arizona, and Los Angeles … on Friday, the Vice President will attend a campaign event in Santa Barbara.”
THE SHOWS, from @MattMackowiak:
–NBC’s “Meet the Press”: Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner; Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) and Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN); political roundtable with former Rep. Harold Ford, Jr. (D-TN), Republican strategist Mike Murphy, NBC News’ Savannah Guthrie and NBC News’ Chuck Todd
–ABC’s “This Week”: Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner; roundtable with ABC News’ Cokie Roberts, former Obama White House Domestic Policy Adviser Melody Barnes, the Wall Street Journal’s Paul Gigot, the Nation’s Katrina vanden Heuvel and Romney campaign advisor Kevin Madden
–CBS’s “Face the Nation”: Sen. John McCain (R-AZ); Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner; discussion of the Trayvon Martin case with Georgetown University’s Michael Eric Dyson, author and TIME Magazine columnist Tourè (“Who’s Afraid of Post-Blackness: what it Means to be Black Now”), CBS News legal analyst Jack Ford and CBS News’ mark Strassman; political roundtable with Democratic strategist Maria Cardona, the Washington Post’s Ruth Marcus, CBS News’ Norah O’Donnell and CBS News’ John Dickerson
–“Fox News Sunday”: Obama campaign chief strategist David Axelrod and Romney campaign senior adviser Ed Gillespie; Chris Wallace’s tribute to the life of his late father, legendary journalist Mike Wallace (first appearance on air since his father’s death); roundtable with Fox News’ Brit Hume, U.S. News & World Report’s Susan Milligan, former Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR) and the New York Times’ Jeff Zeleny
–CNN’s “State of the Union” (SUN 9am ET / 12pm ET): RNC Chair Reince Priebus; Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) and Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA); actor and comedian bill Cosby
–CNN’s “Fareed Zakaria GPS Live”: (SUN 10am ET / 1pm ET): White House National Economic Council Director Gene Sperling; discussion of Africa with the New York Times’ East Africa Bureau Chief Jeffrey Gettleman; discussion of the future of the World Bank with Nigerian finance minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala
–CNN’s “Reliable Sources”: (SUN 11am ET): Former Fox News producer Joe Muto; political roundtable with Politico’s Jonathan Martin and Sirius/XM’s Julie Mason; media roundtable with former CNN correspondent Lola Ogunnaike and American University’s Jane Hall; segment on the late Mike Wallace with CBS News’ Bob Simon and CBS News’ Steve Kroft
–NBC’s “the Chris Matthews Show”: Roundtable with co-author and TIME Magazine’s Michael Duffy (“the Presidents’ Club”), NBC News’ Andrea Mitchell, the Huffington Post’s Howard Fineman and the associated Press’ Kasie Hunt
–Univision’s “Al Punto” (SUN 10am ET): President Barack Obama; RNC Chair Reince Priebus; singer and songwriter Charly Garcia; roundtable with BBC Mundo’s Adrian Fernandez, independent journalist Marcelo Raimon and Noticias Univision’s Daniel Morcate
–MSNBC’s “Up with Chris Hayes” (SUN 8-10am ET): Roundtable with Reuters columnist David Cay Johnston, Demos’ Heather McGhee, Center for American Progress Action Fund president and CEO and former Rep. Tom Perriello (D-VA), former Labor Department Chief Economist and Princeton University’s Betsey Stevenson
–MSNBC’s “Melissa Harris-Perry” (SUN 10am-12pm ET): Roundtable with TheGrio.com managing editor Joy-Ann Reid, U.S. News & World Report’s Rick Newman, Citizen Radio co-host Allison Kilkenny, former Bush administration Associate Deputy Secretary of Energy Randa Fahmy Hudome and the National Center for Transgender Equality’s Mara Keislin; transgender activist and author Kate Bornstein
–ABC7’s “inside Washington”: (SAT 7pm ET on NewsChannel 8 / SUN 9am ET on ABC7 WJLA): Roundtable with Washington Post columnist Colbert King, NPR’s Nina Totenberg, syndicated columnist mark Shields and Politico columnist Roger Simon
–PBS’s “to the Contrary”: Gov. Beverly Perdue (D-NC); roundtable with Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton (D-DC), Independent Women’s Forum’s Sabrina Schaeffer, Global Summit of Women’s Irene Natividad and conservative commentator Darlene Kennedy
–TV One’s “Washington Watch with Roland Martin”: (SUN 9am ET): Roundtable with Empowerment Temple (Baltimore) Pastor Jamal Bryant, Drexel University’s Donald Tibbs, co-director of the Advancement Project Judith Browne-Dianis and MSNBC contributor Jeff Johnson; journalist / commentator panel with American Urban Radio Networks’ April Ryan, MSNBC analyst Robert Traynham, Politico’s Joe Williams and syndicated columnist George Curry
–SiriusXM's “Polioptics” with Adam Belmar and Josh King (SAT & SUN 12pm ET / 6 pm ET): the Washington Post's Ned Martel on Hilary Rosen, Ann Romney, and the prime time cable confabs that spawn multi-day gender-fueled kerfuffles waged by the punditocracy from the comfort of a new wave of in-home uplink studios. And the Body Man: an update from New York Times' Ashley Parker, unofficial chronicler of that mysterious campaign role, leading to a special conversation with Stephen Goodin, former body man to bill Clinton and now president of Red River Strategies, on how to read the president's mind. on SiriusXM's P.O.T.U.S. Ch. 124, also available for download on iTunes and at www.polioptics.com.
** A message from the National Association of Manufacturers: every day, the Export-Import Bank is helping small and medium-sized manufacturers create jobs and compete globally. the Export-Import Bank's authorization is set to expire on may 31, and failure to reauthorize the Bank will damage manufacturers' competitiveness, costing jobs and harming economic growth. More than 85 percent of the Bank's customers are small and medium-sized businesses — the lifeblood of our economy — and will be negatively impacted if the Ex-Im Bank is not reauthorized. the Bank supports nearly 290,000 jobs in the United States — that's 1,000 jobs every working day for a year. And the Export-Import Bank supports manufacturers at no cost to the taxpayer. From FY06 to FY10, the Bank returned more than $3.4 billion to the Treasury. Support the reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank — it's all about jobs! Learn more at www.nam.org/exim. **
AP opening map favors Obama: 242 lean, solid electoral votes; Romney: 188 — 12 Secret Service agents sent home; prostitutes involved? – Brundage, Haake, Issenberg, Rospars b’day